Playtomic and PwC Strategy& publish an annual global padel report, and the 2026 edition is solid: roughly 58,000 courts worldwide, over 20,000 clubs, around 19 million active players. Nearly 8,000 new courts were added in 2025 alone — a 16% year-on-year jump. Industry projections put the total at close to 91,000 courts by 2028. For the flooring industry, the total number isn’t the real story. The structural shift is. The first shift: growth is decentralizing. Spain still leads in absolute numbers, but the new courts are increasingly in Indonesia, Brazil, the United States, Australia, India, and Poland. These markets share a common profile — rising disposable income, almost zero existing court stock, and no domestic manufacturing base. Whoever gets in first builds channel stickiness. The US makes the point vividly: fewer than 800 courts nationwide, but roughly half a million active players. That ratio isn’t “future potential”— it’s”undersupply right now.” The second shift: surface materials are diverging. Traditionally, sand-filled artificial turf has been the default for padel courts, and the International Padel Federation (FIP) still endorses it. But real-world use reveals friction points — sand needs periodic replenishment, maintenance is heavy, heat absorption under direct sun is brutal, and drainage after heavy rain is slow. In hot-climate markets, project owners are increasingly looking at alternatives. Poured acrylic is one option — clean appearance, seamless finish. But in tropical conditions it cracks under thermal cycling and requires long curing times. PP interlocking tiles are the third option, and the one gaining ground fastest. They drain instantly, resist UV degradation, and individual damaged tiles can be swapped without ripping up the whole court. Adoption is especially strong in the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Southeast Asia — markets where heat and rain are the primary surface killers. Atelling data point: Mondo was named FIP’s Official Global Turf Partner in April 2024. Note the word — “Turf.” There is currently no equivalent official designation for hard-surface padel courts. That means the hard-surface segment hasn’t been locked down by any dominant brand yet. The window for differentiation is still open. One more detail that gets overlooked: color. Blue and black now account for nearly 70% of new court installations globally, while green continues to shed share. This isn’t just an aesthetic footnote — manufacturers serving the padel market need to maintain consistent inventory depth in blue and black pigment formulations, especially for UV-stabilized outdoor grades. Quick math: 8,000 new courts per year, each roughly 200 square meters including playing area and run-off zones, puts annual flooring demand from new padel construction at around 1.6 million square meters. That’s not Earth-shattering volume, but the growth is steady, the customer quality is high, and hard surfaces are still in the penetration phase. Suppliers who move early have a real shot at building channel inertia before the category consolidates.